Date | 11:15am | Currency | Impact | Detail | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Graph | ||
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11:15am | Actual | |||||||||
Mon Apr 29 | ||||||||||
Mon Apr 29 | All Day | EUR | German Prelim CPI m/m | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | ||||
3:00am | EUR | Spanish Flash CPI y/y | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | |||||
5:13am | EUR | Italian 10-y Bond Auction | 3.86|1.3 | 3.67|1.4 | ||||||
7:01pm | GBP | BRC Shop Price Index y/y | 1.3% | |||||||
7:30pm | JPY | Unemployment Rate | 2.5% | 2.6% | ||||||
7:50pm | JPY | Prelim Industrial Production m/m | 3.4% | -0.6% | ||||||
JPY | Retail Sales y/y | 2.5% | 4.7% | |||||||
9:00pm | NZD | ANZ Business Confidence | 22.9 | |||||||
9:30pm | AUD | Retail Sales m/m | 0.2% | 0.3% | ||||||
AUD | Private Sector Credit m/m | 0.4% | 0.5% | |||||||
CNY | Manufacturing PMI | 50.3 | 50.8 | |||||||
CNY | Non-Manufacturing PMI | 52.2 | 53.0 | |||||||
9:45pm | CNY | Caixin Manufacturing PMI | 51.0 | 51.1 |
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A couple of quick moves and the pair is dragged back down on the day: chart USD/JPY 1-minute chart. I had a whole post lined up about how Tokyo had every reason to step in but they didn't earlier. So far, the drop is still seeing a couple of volatile pushes up and down when you drill down to the minute chart. It is not quite one with extreme force. As such, I'm inclined to say that this isn't a move by Tokyo to step in. But rather, exacerbated flows making its way through some stop orders. The pair now dips to 157.80 before being bought back up again to 158.20 in quick succession. post: AND USDJPY FALLS BACK DOWN TO ERASE 2HRS OF GAIN pic.twitter.com/lsojAG8qc5 USD/JPY drop gathers pace, now down to 157.21 on the day BOJ intervention in play? chart Now, this is starting to look a bit more forceful. The 150-pip decline earlier still had some semblance of the move that we saw on Friday last week. But now, the drop in USD/JPY is starting to look more forceful and convincing. If anything, we might have finally hit the nerve and Tokyo are responding in due kind. USD/JPY now down to 156.85 as I update the post. The question now is how long can Tokyo keep this up for as they look to draw a hard line on the yen fall? The big problem for Japanese officials is that they don't have the fundamental narrative on their side. post: USD/JPY Extends Decline, Falls 1.1% to Day’s Low at 156.60
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